admin
News
- Today's news
- US
- Politics
- World
- Tech
- Reviews and deals
- Audio
- Computing
- Gaming
- Health
- Home
- Phones
- Science
- TVs
- Climate change
- Health
- Science
- 2024 election
- Originals
- The 360
- Newsletters
Life
- Health
- COVID-19
- Fall allergies
- Health news
- Mental health
- Relax
- Sexual health
- Studies
- The Unwind
- Parenting
- Family health
- So mini ways
- Style and beauty
- It Figures
- Unapologetically
- Horoscopes
- Shopping
- Buying guides
- Food
- Travel
- Autos
- Gift ideas
- Buying guides
Entertainment
- Celebrity
- TV
- Movies
- Music
- How to Watch
- Interviews
- Videos
Finance
- My Portfolio
- News
- Latest News
- Stock Market
- Originals
- The Morning Brief
- Premium News
- Economics
- Housing
- Earnings
- Tech
- Crypto
- Biden Economy
- Markets
- Stocks: Most Actives
- Stocks: Gainers
- Stocks: Losers
- Trending Tickers
- Futures
- World Indices
- US Treasury Bonds Rates
- Currencies
- Crypto
- Top ETFs
- Top Mutual Funds
- Options: Highest Open Interest
- Options: Highest Implied Volatility
- Sectors
- Basic Materials
- Communication Services
- Consumer Cyclical
- Consumer Defensive
- Energy
- Financial Services
- Healthcare
- Industrials
- Real Estate
- Technology
- Utilities
- Research
- Screeners
- Screeners Beta
- Watchlists
- Calendar
- Stock Comparison
- Advanced Chart
- Currency Converter
- Investment Ideas
- Research Reports
- Personal Finance
- Credit Cards
- Balance Transfer Cards
- Cash-back Cards
- Rewards Cards
- Travel Cards
- Credit Card Offers
- Banking
- CD Rates
- Best HYSA
- Best Free Checking
- Student Loans
- Personal Loans
- Insurance
- Car insurance
- Mortgages
- Mortgage Refinancing
- Mortgage Calculator
- Taxes
- Videos
- Invest
- Latest News
- Editor's Picks
- Investing Insights
- Trending Stocks
- All Shows
- Morning Brief
- Opening Bid
- Wealth
- ETF Report
Sports
- Fantasy
- News
- Fantasy football
- Best Ball
- Pro Pick 'Em
- College Pick 'Em
- Fantasy baseball
- Fantasy hockey
- Fantasy basketball
- Download the app
- Daily fantasy
- NFL
- News
- Scores and schedules
- Standings
- Stats
- Teams
- Players
- Drafts
- Injuries
- Odds
- Super Bowl
- GameChannel
- Videos
- MLB
- News
- Scores and schedules
- Standings
- Stats
- Teams
- Players
- Odds
- Videos
- World Baseball Classic
- NBA
- News
- Draft
- Scores and schedules
- Standings
- Stats
- Teams
- Players
- Injuries
- Videos
- Odds
- Playoffs
- NHL
- News
- Scores and schedules
- Standings
- Stats
- Teams
- Players
- Odds
- Playoffs
- Soccer
- News
- Scores and schedules
- Premier League
- MLS
- NWSL
- Liga MX
- CONCACAF League
- Champions League
- La Liga
- Serie A
- Bundesliga
- Ligue 1
- World Cup
- College football
- News
- Scores and schedules
- Standings
- Rankings
- Stats
- Teams
-
- MMA
- WNBA
- Sportsbook
- NCAAF
- Tennis
- Golf
- NASCAR
- NCAAB
- NCAAW
- Boxing
- USFL
- Cycling
- Motorsports
- Olympics
- Horse racing
- GameChannel
- Rivals
- Newsletters
- Podcasts
- Videos
- RSS
- Jobs
- Help
- World Cup
- More news
New on Yahoo
- Creators
- Games
- Tech
- Terms
- Privacy
- Your Privacy Choices
- Feedback
© 2024 All rights reserved. About our ads Advertising Careers Yahoo Finance Yahoo Finance Search query Select edition
- USEnglish
- US y LATAMEspañol
- AustraliaEnglish
- CanadaEnglish
- CanadaFrançais
- DeutschlandDeutsch
- FranceFrançais
- 香港繁中
- MalaysiaEnglish
- New ZealandEnglish
- SingaporeEnglish
- 台灣繁中
- UKEnglish
Sign in
- My Portfolio
- News
- Latest News
- Stock Market
- Originals
- The Morning Brief
- Premium News
- Economics
- Housing
- Earnings
- Tech
- Crypto
- Biden Economy
- Markets
- Stocks: Most Actives
- Stocks: Gainers
- Stocks: Losers
- Trending Tickers
- Futures
- World Indices
- US Treasury Bonds Rates
- Currencies
- Crypto
- Top ETFs
- Top Mutual Funds
- Options: Highest Open Interest
- Options: Highest Implied Volatility
- Sectors
- Basic Materials
- Communication Services
- Consumer Cyclical
- Consumer Defensive
- Energy
- Financial Services
- Healthcare
- Industrials
- Real Estate
- Technology
- Utilities
- Research
- Screeners
- Screeners Beta
- Watchlists
- Calendar
- Stock Comparison
- Advanced Chart
- Currency Converter
- Investment Ideas
- Research Reports
- Personal Finance
- Credit Cards
- Balance Transfer Cards
- Cash-back Cards
- Rewards Cards
- Travel Cards
- Credit Card Offers
- Banking
- CD Rates
- Best HYSA
- Best Free Checking
- Student Loans
- Personal Loans
- Insurance
- Car insurance
- Mortgages
- Mortgage Refinancing
- Mortgage Calculator
- Taxes
- Videos
- Invest
- Latest News
- Editor's Picks
- Investing Insights
- Trending Stocks
- All Shows
- Morning Brief
- Opening Bid
- Wealth
- ETF Report
Upgrade to Premium FROM YAHOO NEWS Latest news, live updates as 2024 election results loom 7 ‘election trades’ Citi is watching Rick Newman · Senior Columnist Updated Tue, Nov 5, 2024, 4:01 PM 2 min read
Citi put out analysis today listing “20 election trades to track.” Note that Citi calls them “election trades,” not “Trump trades,” which is a sober-minded way to put it.
Some of these trades are arcane, but here are a few for a mainstream audience.
Solar energy: Up with a Harris win, down with a Trump win.
Fossil fuels: Not as pro-Trump as you might think because “drill, baby, drill” implies more supply and, therefore, lower prices, which is bad for Big Oil profits.
Drop Rick Newman a note, follow him on Twitter, or sign up for his newsletter.
People pass the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan on the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Day in Manhattan in New York City, U.S., November 5, 2024. REUTERS/Stephani Spindel · REUTERS / Reuters
Deregulation: Good for Financials if Trump wins.
Tariffs: Trump wants much higher import tariffs, which is bearish for physical goods that are easier to tax but neutral for services or digital products (software) that are harder to tax.
Inflation: More likely under Trump than Harris because tariffs are inflationary, among other things. Higher inflation implies higher interest rates under a Trump administration than a Harris administration, and some of that is priced into markets already. If Harris wins, 10-year Treasury rates could drop slightly, bringing mortgage rates and other consumer rates down with them.
Antitrust: Trump is more likely to allows corporate mergers and mashups, which could benefit smaller biotech firms in position to be acquired by bigger ones.
Housing: Trump doesn't really have a housing policy, and if interest rates are in fact higher under him, it would be a negative for home buyers and home builders. Both could do better under Harris, due to lower rates and federal incentives to build more affordable housing.
I’m eagerly looking forward to post-election market action to see how much of these “election trades” markets priced in ahead of the voting, along with what markets overpriced and what markets underpriced.
Rick Newman is a senior columnist for Yahoo Finance. Follow him on Twitter at @rickjnewman.
Click here for political news related to business and money policies that will shape tomorrow's stock prices.
Read the latest financial and business news from Yahoo Finance
Terms and Privacy Policy Your Privacy Choices
